Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.008134 0.009152 0.010263 0.011572 0.013073 0.014744 0.016753
2025-01-19 0.006323 0.007654 0.009236 0.011264 0.013813 0.016931 0.021067
2025-01-26 0.005444 0.006915 0.008761 0.011271 0.014627 0.019011 0.025251
2025-02-02 0.005014 0.006627 0.008747 0.011772 0.016041 0.021944 0.030883
2025-02-09 0.004490 0.006130 0.008367 0.011692 0.016597 0.023712 0.035076
2025-02-16 0.004128 0.005801 0.008160 0.011798 0.017390 0.025868 0.040103
2025-02-23 0.003751 0.005404 0.007804 0.011626 0.017715 0.027316 0.044177
2025-03-02 0.003519 0.005192 0.007691 0.011795 0.018568 0.029671 0.050057
2025-03-09 0.003260 0.004912 0.007442 0.011714 0.018989 0.031343 0.054971
2025-03-16 0.002943 0.004514 0.006970 0.011216 0.018646 0.031649 0.057418
2025-03-23 0.002754 0.004303 0.006776 0.011156 0.019040 0.033286 0.062599
2025-03-30 0.002701 0.004304 0.006926 0.011697 0.020557 0.037146 0.072762
2025-04-06 0.002470 0.004000 0.006551 0.011296 0.020335 0.037766 0.076540
2025-04-13 0.002279 0.003750 0.006249 0.011002 0.020292 0.038750 0.081318
2025-04-20 0.002155 0.003605 0.006119 0.011008 0.020827 0.040959 0.089210
2025-04-27 0.002114 0.003602 0.006237 0.011496 0.022383 0.045510 0.103426
2025-05-04 0.001996 0.003452 0.006075 0.011418 0.022754 0.047546 0.111924
2025-05-11 0.001913 0.003357 0.006008 0.011521 0.023522 0.050571 0.123532
2025-05-18 0.001803 0.003205 0.005818 0.011353 0.023671 0.052176 0.131687
2025-05-25 0.001742 0.003139 0.005789 0.011518 0.024585 0.055732 0.145969
2025-06-01 0.001657 0.003023 0.005653 0.011439 0.024925 0.057926 0.156825
2025-06-08 0.001535 0.002827 0.005343 0.010955 0.024256 0.057474 0.159702
2025-06-15 0.001466 0.002732 0.005230 0.010896 0.024606 0.059721 0.171408